NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaf1f078bb198a92038eea025124db7367d18827090404996ff2e0e56e06316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 79c | 962.1$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 22c | 902.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 77c | 426.27$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 394.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 18c | 367.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…e8f9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 26c | 235.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 19c | 137.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 20c | 123.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 44c | 121.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 74.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 19c | 59.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…f6e5backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 21c | 51.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 40.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 29.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 79c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.