Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x463b5b531c65ce468c6fb02c04c1181f4063fb0a11b94ae274bdd132935867eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Team Lynx, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 7,933$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.2 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…619abacked Team Lynx | 49c | 3,850$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…84b8backed L1ga Team | 51c | 3,850$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx | 49c | 2,222$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.19 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,985$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed L1ga Team | 57c | 1,635$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.86 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 1,404$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.73 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed L1ga Team | 60c | 975.51$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 964$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Team Lynx | 51c | 895.25$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 34c | 777.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team | 53c | 745.13$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 49c | 615.6$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 591.22$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.7 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed L1ga Team | 50c | 571.32$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.66 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 35c | 534.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked L1ga Team | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 445$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…8789backed Team Lynx | 22c | 425$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed L1ga Team | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed L1ga Team | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 383.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed L1ga Team | 51c | 378.24$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed L1ga Team | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed L1ga Team | 65c | 323.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Lynx | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked L1ga Team | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Team Lynx | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed L1ga Team | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…0a94backed L1ga Team | 78c | 290$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 50c | 284.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…2a74backed L1ga Team | 50c | 276$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…9b3dbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 269.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Lynx | 50c | 263.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed L1ga Team | 79c | 259.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 254.02$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed L1ga Team | 79c | 253.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 63c | 246.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 236.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 225.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed L1ga Team | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed L1ga Team | 78c | 202.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed L1ga Team | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed L1ga Team | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…9371backed Team Lynx | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed L1ga Team | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed L1ga Team | 78c | 134$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 119.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Lynx | 51c | 113.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 109.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed L1ga Team | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed L1ga Team | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Lynx | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…b639backed L1ga Team | 78c | 98.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Team Lynx | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed L1ga Team | 60c | 95.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Lynx | 35c | 94.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked L1ga Team | 48c | 84.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked L1ga Team | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 76.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…a7d5backed L1ga Team | 50c | 71.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team | 56c | 62.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Team Lynx | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked L1ga Team | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed L1ga Team | 50c | 54.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 50.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Team Lynx | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Team Lynx | 45c | 49.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Team Lynx | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed L1ga Team | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed L1ga Team | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…40e1backed L1ga Team | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 44c | 39.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…d62fbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 36.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed L1ga Team | 52c | 34.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…ea8bbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed L1ga Team | 77c | 33.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Lynx | 48c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0477backed L1ga Team | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.