Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Skatov vs Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88bb1f5ae8f231a3a91198e35f6b4ec8ab162e2154db44b591e63275b5be9b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skatovof Skatov, Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Echargui | 39c | 1,269$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Skatov | 68c | 486.03$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Skatov | 62c | 231.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Skatov | 54c | 227.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Echargui | 38c | 221.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Skatov | 63c | 188.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Skatov | 63c | 135.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Skatov | 66c | 125.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Echargui | 17c | 114.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Skatov | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Skatov | 54c | 43.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Skatov | 54c | 33.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Skatov | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Skatov vs Echarguithis page
- Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Moez EcharguiTimofey Skatov won
- Set Handicap: Skatov (-1.5) vs Echargui (+1.5)Skatov won
- Skatov vs. Echargui: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Timofey Skatov vs. Moez Echargui: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.