NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Amur Khabarovsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206ee37337e1e01a68387168ccab9b0a0d68808789ddb396cf197f086b5c921d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lada Togliattiof Lada Togliatti, Amur Khabarovsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,537 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Amur Khabarovsk | 48c | 2,034$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.05 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Amur Khabarovsk | 18c | 826.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 50c | 723.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lada Togliatti | 50c | 704.08$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.55 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 19c | 558.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lada Togliatti | 51c | 533.82$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Lada Togliatti | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Amur Khabarovsk | 49c | 379$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lada Togliatti | 54c | 209.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Amur Khabarovsk | 51c | 187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lada Togliatti | 52c | 186.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lada Togliatti | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lada Togliatti | 68c | 107.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Lada Togliatti | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Amur Khabarovsk | 53c | 99.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Amur Khabarovsk | 27c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Amur Khabarovsk | 47c | 93.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 50c | 91.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Amur Khabarovsk | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lada Togliatti | 52c | 77.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Lada Togliatti | 50c | 61.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 60.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Lada Togliatti | 42c | 57.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…f6e5backed Lada Togliatti | 35c | 56.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amur Khabarovsk | 68c | 54.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Lada Togliatti | 53c | 49.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Amur Khabarovsk | 55c | 48.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Lada Togliatti | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Amur Khabarovsk | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lada Togliatti | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Amur Khabarovsk | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lada Togliatti | 50c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Amur Khabarovsk | 55c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Lada Togliatti | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f6e4backed Amur Khabarovsk | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…9a55backed Amur Khabarovsk | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…7a1ebacked Amur Khabarovsk | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 71c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.