NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3297809dc885062573f459e0cd3ab83edf7f08a00ebbdd7a43b288190c629be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,556 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 8,000$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.32 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 1,465$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 1,390$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.56 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 887.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 871.19$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 720$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 437.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…0abdbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 363$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 272$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 249.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 211.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 205.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 205.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 205.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 189.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 164.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Calgary Wranglers | 46c | 108.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…3f05backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…f383backed Calgary Wranglers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…1fe6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…1df5backed Calgary Wranglers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…c0cbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b654backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Calgary Wranglers | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 74.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…9c0bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…c133backed Calgary Wranglers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…cca3backed Calgary Wranglers | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5afbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 61.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Calgary Wranglers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Calgary Wranglers | 46c | 47.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 41.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 40.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 34.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Calgary Wranglers | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 28.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Calgary Wranglers | 42c | 24.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.