NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707fc94ff1d9c6329e5538dde9f57ea0c6aee0590b3e8f3a806877a3930bfec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Jets, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,654 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jets | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 70c | 3,755$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.83 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…f6b3backed Predators | 67c | 1,260$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 67c | 1,054$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…dd4ebacked Predators | 67c | 840$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 77c | 633.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Jets | 33c | 430$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…50c1backed Predators | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Predators | 75c | 303.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…7a92backed Jets | 16c | 280$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Predators | 72c | 249.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Jets | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Jets | 31c | 197.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Predators | 68c | 156.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jets | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Jets | 33c | 107.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Jets | 33c | 107.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Predators | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jets | 31c | 98.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Predators | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 67c | 94.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Predators | 70c | 93.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Predators | 68c | 89.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 69c | 73.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Predators | 64c | 69.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Jets | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Predators | 67c | 50.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Predators | 71c | 43.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Jets | 33c | 43.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jets | 31c | 36.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Predators | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Predators | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Predators | 72c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Predators | 62c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Jets | 43c | 26.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators | 62c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jets | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Predators | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Predators | 78c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. JetsPredators won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.