NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c3e4465be5be23184b77b9e1d2146489fc35b0faa5fbc4cae0ac3e9032a363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,467 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 2,788$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.36 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.55 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,946$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.18 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.79 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 20c | 634.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 77c | 383.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 333.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 49c | 288.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 250.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 52c | 193.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 63c | 174.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 143.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Under | 46c | 117.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 37c | 114.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 16c | 107.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under | 40c | 74.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 52c | 60.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 55.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 48c | 51.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 49.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 49.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 67c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 41.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 55c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 63c | 27.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 67c | 25.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 47c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 21.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. JetsPredators won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.