NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12abc75e6d6cea0b1c5090c77bbb9d44e08e2dc5cc79b5ea5090f0caba192db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 61c | 1,314$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 923.73$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 30c | 875$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 60c | 501.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 357.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 78c | 260.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 233.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 40c | 227.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 8c | 206.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 39c | 174.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 58c | 142.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Under | 72c | 139.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 53c | 127.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 64c | 103.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 28c | 100.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 42c | 90.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 70c | 88.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 68c | 78.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 73.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…3067backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 62.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 45c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 47.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 35c | 46.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…4ce9backed Over | 34c | 41.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 65c | 40.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 40c | 32.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…1a39backed Under | 60c | 31.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…2854backed Under | 73c | 27.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 59c | 23.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. JetsPredators won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.