TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,505 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c165,950$76,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,663.2289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c66,839$35,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,963.6946246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c59,014$31,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,843.1717643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c25,667$13,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,776.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4803158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c9,008$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.192,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under53c8,877$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,704.7784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under55c7,210$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.384551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c4,957$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.0618744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under54c4,665$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.9610749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over47c3,786$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.812,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over46c3,045$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.068548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Over48c2,535$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.163847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over47c2,121$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+55.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,283$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c1,226$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.1790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under52c1,015$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.523151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under51c991.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.542352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over50c971.41$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.75759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over46c869.65$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under55c650.32$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.673348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c642.96$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2321850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c525.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under55c521.44$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.794353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under54c494.61$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.091,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under53c467.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1713842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c345.61$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.75,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under55c333$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.158946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c292.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.921,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c277.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over45c275.04$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2715356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over48c272.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc098…7e69backed Under55c270.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Over47c253.09$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.143655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7722047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.133953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over46c191.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.587959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under54c161.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3235338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c137.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c118.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8530152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under51c114.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.285149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.712054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under51c97.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.568051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c97.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5448551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Over46c96.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Under56c87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.727360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under51c77.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under51c77.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under54c66.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.875644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over44c63.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5322756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under51c58.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.744055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over45c55.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over47c51.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.366963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under51c48.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.788543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under23c45.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.477745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Over47c41.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over63c39.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.524047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Under51c38.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under55c37.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.694537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cf…9332backed Over46c34.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under54c31.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under52c30.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.863852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over47c29.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.768640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Under55c27.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under56c26.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under55c26.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.726347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Under55c26.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.724953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Under53c22.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c22.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9360954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under55c20.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.