TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 162.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,889 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under53c6,464$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,425.7424748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c3,000$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,506$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7956142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under54c1,443$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.418548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c999.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over47c699.63$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.812,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over47c571.25$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over47c318.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.071,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over42c305.76$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.531837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under53c79.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.034843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over47c75.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.84047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over47c73.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over47c68.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.314753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c58.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0169350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under54c43.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.557157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under35c40.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2414728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over47c37.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.121059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over47c30.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.081877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under54c29.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.025944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c29.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.882,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.