Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9226fad53d80c37f44a8331485bb0984dc3257537c731ce48e7b96213f40b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Under | 58c | 34,753$20,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,156.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Over | 42c | 33,333$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,333.09 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Under | 53c | 9,744$5,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 7,597$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 6,933$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 6,421$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 4,817$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 4,159$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 42c | 2,337$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.43 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 2,259$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Over | 42c | 1,083$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.16 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 53c | 884$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 716.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.59 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 58c | 611.74$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Over | 49c | 567.3$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Over | 43c | 554.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Under | 58c | 523.09$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 508.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 43c | 497.84$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 497.63$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.82 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Over | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 63c | 383.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 49c | 368.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 50c | 357.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 58c | 339.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 57c | 262.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 58c | 256.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…5ee2backed Under | 58c | 244.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +110%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 44c | 214.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 196.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 47c | 157.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 47c | 157.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Under | 63c | 157.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 48c | 155.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 50c | 154.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 58c | 140.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 47c | 123.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 106.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 58c | 103$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 58c | 102.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 100.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 81.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 59c | 67.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 57c | 61.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 59.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 44c | 54.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 57c | 53.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 59c | 51.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Under | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 52c | 44.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…17b3backed Under | 51c | 44.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 42c | 40.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 58c | 33.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 42c | 30.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 58c | 29.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 42c | 25.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 42c | 24.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…8edebacked Under | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5this page
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 159.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.