Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9f70910bb4986cca54a9fae862655f9566839c35ad85f50160c05f0dca672b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 49c | 24,434$12,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,405.66 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 23,071$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,526.76 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 6,205$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.89 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 5,995$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 5,670$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.98 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 4,956$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.29 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 4,903$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.54 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 3,102$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,694$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,342$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,028$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 980.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 776.74$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 676.92$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.65 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 596.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 438.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 339.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 52c | 237.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 205.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 52c | 192.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 190.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 121.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 50c | 120.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 48c | 101.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Over | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 97.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 51c | 97.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 48c | 77.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 47c | 69.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 46c | 52.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 49c | 32.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…c40ebacked Over | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 51c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5this page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield RoadrunnersLong Beach State Beach won
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Long Beach State Beach (-4.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.