Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f39bc0ebac4429bb775127cd4b0d309ad7f5c24c5e334837562987045c6da4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Beach State Beachof Long Beach State Beach, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 37c | 3,038$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Long Beach State Beach | 60c | 2,338$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 1,852$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.22 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 1,786$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Long Beach State Beach | 59c | 1,380$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.66 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 65c | 1,279$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 38c | 1,279$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.96 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 33c | 906.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 48c | 826.36$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Long Beach State Beach | 66c | 718.03$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 50c | 704.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 49c | 610.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 41c | 528.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.81 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 63c | 432.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 5c | 390$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 58c | 377.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 6c | 327.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 286.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 44c | 247.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Long Beach State Beach | 62c | 245$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 42c | 236.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 41c | 201.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 198.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 31c | 185.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Long Beach State Beach | 59c | 153.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Long Beach State Beach | 61c | 133.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Long Beach State Beach | 57c | 123.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 122.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 43c | 114.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 56c | 106.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 43c | 99.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…1d4cbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 19c | 83.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 45c | 78.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Long Beach State Beach | 56c | 77.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 56.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 53.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 47c | 48.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…6570backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 40c | 44.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 58c | 35.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…426fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 60c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 57c | 30.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Long Beach State Beach | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d1d6backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 43c | 27.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Long Beach State Beach | 68c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 48c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Long Beach State Beach | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…d2e2backed Long Beach State Beach | 53c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 61c | 19.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…a365backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Long Beach State Beach | 61c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Long Beach State Beach | 66c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 152.5Over won
- Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Long Beach State Beach (-4.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.