Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff711a2276ef13d7b0f2ffec2f348fa47559117268f55242c104b1649b752548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 48c | 22,653$10,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,873.23 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 18,220$9,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,747.59 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 59c | 11,347$6,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720.79 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 9,967$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.63 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 7,784$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 47c | 6,630$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,008$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.35 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 4,991$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.42 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 52c | 3,725$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.38 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 3,234$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.66 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 2,907$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 60c | 2,517$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.52 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,256$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 40c | 1,660$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.08 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 1,032$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.25 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 53c | 891.52$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 793$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 507.09$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 341.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 329.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 41c | 266.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 47c | 199.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 54c | 182.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 142.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 139.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 43c | 137.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 132.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 48c | 112.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 103.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Over | 39c | 100.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Under | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 50c | 69.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 47c | 52.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 49c | 45.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 53c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Over | 47c | 43.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 49c | 41.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 56c | 37.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 54c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 157.5this page
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside HighlandersUC Riverside Highlanders won
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.