Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2d8ee10a978ebf634eba093e17aa1c2e58a98dea72c6e76d70ed1a725ff713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 56c | 20,530$11,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.27 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 44c | 15,999$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,039.56 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 6,032$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.56 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 4,996$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.81 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 4,991$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 45c | 4,269$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 44c | 3,380$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.06 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 3,348$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 3,337$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.55 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 45c | 3,024$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.81 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 2,503$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.53 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 2,171$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.21 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 1,956$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.35 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 1,862$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.78 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 48c | 1,141$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.18 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,121$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 57c | 1,013$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 720.25$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 599.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 56c | 532.52$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 267.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 45c | 224.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 43c | 183.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 48c | 158.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 134.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 126.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 44c | 111.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 96.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 92.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 84.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 79.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 43c | 79.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 60.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 56c | 60.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 51.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 44.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 56c | 44.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 53c | 41.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Over | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 156.5this page
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside HighlandersUC Riverside Highlanders won
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.