MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ea9ead4874fc2ebb459f692a5345a3f75f8fdf026d53066cac21170d8bb33a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,466 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,874$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.11 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,220$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 961.6$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.85 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 877.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.12 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 619.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.91 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 610$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.2 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 598.17$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 505.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.97 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 431.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 409.11$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 376.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed New York Yankees | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 59c | 274$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 261$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 242.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 217$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed New York Yankees | 57c | 207$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…f33fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 179.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 164$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 151.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 143$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 133.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 129.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 126.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 32c | 122.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 122.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 121.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 116.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 102.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 100.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 94.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 92.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed New York Yankees | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 81.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 67.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 66.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed New York Yankees | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed New York Yankees | 29c | 61.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Yankees | 32c | 44.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked New York Yankees | 32c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed New York Yankees | 57c | 42.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 38.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed New York Yankees | 35c | 37.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Yankees | 31c | 35.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 32.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed New York Yankees | 34c | 32.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 31.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…593fbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…1c18backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…0d5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 24.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed New York Yankees | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 16.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed New York Yankees | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.