Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e47d701a7c5fbdbaf9b60a3e32d9575bbc5c484743347394978f40c3acc4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 29,812$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,011.47 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.77 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 47c | 9,090$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 5,611$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.79 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 47c | 5,226$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.4 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 47c | 3,694$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.97 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 1,462$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.45 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 54c | 1,218$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 1,182$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 919.92$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.05 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 832.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 829.38$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Under | 46c | 775.8$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 46c | 520.63$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 511.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 480.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 418.32$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 48c | 386.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 335.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 47c | 269.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Under | 52c | 190.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 183.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 46c | 183.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 149.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 47c | 148.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 119.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 108.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 48c | 102.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 49c | 101.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 48c | 92.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 82.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 46c | 74.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 72.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 47c | 37.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 47c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 28.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 55c | 26.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 147.5this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts won
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.