Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8faf6d3409b94f9e3597621815897bf82630e0ea64fff541d5bac2cf14faf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 49c | 29,945$14,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,128.53 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 50c | 24,437$12,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,198.65 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 8,093$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.4 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 51c | 5,018$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.58 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 4,956$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.2 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 50c | 3,648$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.72 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 2,094$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.76 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 57c | 1,879$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.3 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 1,453$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.53 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,343$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 50c | 1,158$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.57 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,017$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 50c | 802.91$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 50c | 783.09$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 342.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 277.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 53c | 208.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 48c | 199.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 50c | 198.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 198.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 128.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 121.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Under | 50c | 109.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 50c | 101.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 50c | 97.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 52c | 95.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 91.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 82.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 74.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 70.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…cf90backed Under | 50c | 61.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 59.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 52c | 57.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 56.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 49c | 55.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 51.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 30.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 27.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…221dbacked Over | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 148.5this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts won
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.