Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77f9efc61cc02c3da93ed957e81c2e7aa5dad34d9de19ee750108e350c5a29b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolina Catamountsof Furman Paladins, Western Carolina Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Furman Paladins | 7c | 6,115$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 33c | 5,546$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 68c | 3,574$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 68c | 3,154$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.99 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 66c | 2,982$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Furman Paladins | 33c | 2,840$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Furman Paladins | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 1,993$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.44 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Furman Paladins | 55c | 1,983$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.47 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Furman Paladins | 33c | 1,912$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Furman Paladins | 55c | 1,487$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.85 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 45c | 1,427$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.6 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 67c | 1,239$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 33c | 670.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.82 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Furman Paladins | 40c | 607.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 74c | 526.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Furman Paladins | 51c | 512$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…ad03backed Furman Paladins | 10c | 489.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 77c | 478.32$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Furman Paladins | 31c | 477.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 50c | 385.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Furman Paladins | 31c | 315.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 311.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 310.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 41c | 300.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 66c | 258.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Furman Paladins | 31c | 254.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 67c | 216.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 36c | 202.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 48c | 199.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Furman Paladins | 51c | 121.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Furman Paladins | 24c | 114.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 103.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Furman Paladins | 25c | 96.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 93.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 69c | 91.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Furman Paladins | 33c | 73.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 65c | 54.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Furman Paladins | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Furman Paladins | 33c | 31.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Furman Paladins | 52c | 28.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Furman Paladins | 66c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 79c | 12.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamountsthis page
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 147.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.