TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c14,770$7,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.341,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c10,583$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.1287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over55c9,836$5,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4103542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c9,174$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.789159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4005354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c5,100$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.221,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.863420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c4,909$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.0921143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ae…19fdbacked Over32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Under46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c2,100$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over57c1,740$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Under46c1,683$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c1,634$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.1762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over52c1,015$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c899.6$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over54c894.57$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over56c803.57$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over13c757.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c704.85$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c618.18$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c490.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under46c462.79$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.925328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under44c430.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over47c414.25$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c399$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over55c396.42$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.033729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over55c388$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.41040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c361.63$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.93551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over56c235.39$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over35c223.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over55c193.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.528333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c177.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c176$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.89747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.759355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9124051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c173.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Over34c145.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.32911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-78.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over54c144$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.769158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under46c139.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.819846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under63c132.75$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.121060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over55c128.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Over35c122.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over53c98.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over54c96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.848755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over54c96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over54c96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under65c93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.552142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over54c91.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…7009backed Over55c87.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over59c86.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4610952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c83.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over58c82.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.26150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.759752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over56c69.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.853354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over52c62.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.656245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over40c62.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over47c62.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.385750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over56c60.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.178856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over56c59.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over31c54.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over27c52.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6506…a04bbacked Under80c50.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over37c45.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.