Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12333a7a5e464bc60cd1c40de1a747d8e664aacae2f2b851ba81bada1e13fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 14,770$7,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 10,583$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.12 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 55c | 9,836$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 9,174$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.78 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 5,100$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.22 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.86 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 45c | 4,909$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.09 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ae…19fdbacked Over | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Under | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 57c | 1,740$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Under | 46c | 1,683$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 1,634$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.17 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 52c | 1,015$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 899.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 54c | 894.57$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 13c | 757.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 704.85$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 46c | 462.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 44c | 430.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 47c | 414.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 399$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 55c | 396.42$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 55c | 388$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 45c | 361.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 56c | 235.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 35c | 223.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 55c | 193.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 176$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 173.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Over | 34c | 145.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 54c | 144$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 46c | 139.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 63c | 132.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 55c | 128.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Over | 35c | 122.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 53c | 98.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 54c | 91.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…7009backed Over | 55c | 87.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 59c | 86.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 83.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 56c | 69.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 62.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 62.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 62.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 60.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 56c | 59.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 31c | 54.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Over | 27c | 52.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked Under | 80c | 50.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.