Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b6823e5ba17b3789b99ff6ae05e783e717c62163f13147c72e4785da862dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,717$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 35c | 720.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Yes | 46c | 676.09$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 52c | 651.45$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 598.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 578.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.88 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 51c | 534.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 522$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 52c | 507.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 421.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 42c | 413.61$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…0e4cbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 191.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 30c | 188.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 178.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 153.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed No | 52c | 138.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 104.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…a2c0backed Yes | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…4326backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…00d9backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 50c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked No | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…339abacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 33.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 45c | 30.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 34c | 29.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed No | 53c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8deebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 70c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.