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Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c6,955$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.43,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c5,500$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20016045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18410445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No48c4,180$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.69455.3%52 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes41c4,131$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.386550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,105$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.322,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No62c2,817$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96012651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Yes67c1,498$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.6412861.7%79 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c1,493$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.11,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed No34c999.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.981540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes49c980.51$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c910.92$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.11,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes26c842.44$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.477722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes67c700$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4693458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No34c589.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7662452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes66c528.79$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3496149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes68c526.47$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35819055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26515847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes67c461.54$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30934547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes61c440$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.063138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes50c414.66$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0620436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c381.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.431,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes56c362.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004772.3%34 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4442…ed7cbacked Yes68c339.62$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982969%20 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes40c274.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…8506backed Yes14c274.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No33c245.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2556951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Yes34c230$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes48c223.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.077424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Yes28c213.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yes53c213.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No51c176.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.21127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No51c175.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5348658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No33c174.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8756547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c158.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes66c155.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes35c154.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.985450%27 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes68c147.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes62c145.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No35c142.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No37c140.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6778248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes48c126.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8760%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No38c118.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4653645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes25c114.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.186936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Yes48c113.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No33c111.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.489150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No33c108$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545836.2%21 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes41c95.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.043342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes14c91.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.774524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes54c91.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes34c91.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+70.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e8…907dbacked Yes35c88.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c76.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7324541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes67c74.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes41c68.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes68c66.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.910943.1%47 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No52c64.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48243.9%36 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No33c59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.791,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes65c58.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes54c57.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes56c52.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No46c48.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2214934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No33c44.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6938646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No32c41.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8281732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c40.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1176234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d80…857dbacked Yes65c38.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes51c33.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7822…5fc2backed Yes40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No49c30.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9330647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+68.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x722b…8b92backed No77c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f4…9850backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdf…9305backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f17…30c5backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd21…ba02backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.