South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea1612c6c743d05707f897bf72126e544cb41ea4154db7f71acaf80c3d8dc76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 8,775$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 8,396$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.09 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,910$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 51c | 5,042$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.53 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 1,959$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.44 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 11c | 1,933$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 43c | 1,846$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.49 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 39c | 1,640$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.66 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 1,582$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 32c | 1,280$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.92 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 792.3$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 782.22$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 2c | 770.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 698.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 50c | 496.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 5c | 405.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 334.83$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 56c | 316.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 234.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…c5f5backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Yes | 36c | 195.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 30c | 168.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 56c | 147$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 135.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 45c | 129.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 24c | 117.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 24c | 99.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 45c | 95.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 87.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 45c | 74.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed No | 57c | 72.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…516cbacked Yes | 79c | 70.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 54c | 67.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked No | 24c | 66.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 59.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 73c | 57.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 56.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 47c | 40.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bd…4c1fbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 57c | 32.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 31.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1d97backed Yes | 65c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 52c | 29.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 55c | 27.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 70c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Yes | 48c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 55c | 22.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 63c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 59c | 18.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 78c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-24?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.