South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5bb51a7de446e04453aa8c0fea0dd73c04c8b02167f39be7204dcbeafcfccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 8,122$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.03 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 5,225$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 1,128$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,058$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 32c | 893.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 562.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 37c | 445.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 435$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 68c | 411.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 386.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 341.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 35c | 305.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 33c | 271.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 260.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 160.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…21e8backed No | 68c | 147.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 132.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 19c | 126.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 27c | 114.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 112.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 110.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 63c | 106.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed No | 67c | 96.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 21c | 96.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 32c | 95.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed No | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 54.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes | 34c | 47.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 32c | 43.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 67c | 34.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes | 35c | 32.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 73c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…4b64backed No | 68c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-24?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.