Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69392c05f46aff0089e864593dd7a7809ebef4bc1f861b9895d9245402de253c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,064 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 47c | 752.47$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 643.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 38c | 364.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 326.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 55c | 183.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 123.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 122.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 54c | 72.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 38.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed No | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 27.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…6628backed Yes | 55c | 23.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.