Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec7cd48330d1c647ec79fc01fcb22813646295a12c334e62f9bd487de1269b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,453 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 77c | 11,285$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 3,506$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.17 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 559.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 73c | 412.68$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 22c | 327.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 74c | 309.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 226.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 75c | 190.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 116.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 28c | 76.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 58.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Under | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 26c | 51.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over | 71c | 46.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…40ddbacked Over | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 74c | 37.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 75c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.