Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4cb183c2a5f44c37394be837704cdf05e0a5d6a63bf233cdfaef3076d733a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,603$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,497$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 15c | 1,092$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 40c | 999.98$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Under | 60c | 598.73$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 384.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 361$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 247.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 223.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 123.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 121.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 73c | 102.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 97.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 83.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Over | 73c | 75.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…869abacked Over | 73c | 73.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Over | 73c | 73.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 73c | 70.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 76c | 70.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 73c | 69.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…d50cbacked Under | 70c | 52.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 50.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…3da7backed Under | 79c | 48.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Over | 72c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 34c | 47.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 36c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 61c | 44.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…c945backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…98a3backed Over | 41c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 71c | 25.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 67c | 22.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 61c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Under | 61c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.