Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2985bb8cac97bc4d6dec04c61959d928ea5c05caa1d9424d03dfa1d42ab2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 3,621$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.19 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,082$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 1,034$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.78 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 46c | 865.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 52c | 574.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 550.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 468.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 412.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 366$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 54c | 357.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 243.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 11c | 104.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 66.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 42c | 34.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.