Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb04436a8140c36e71bf5a44f33a548b6537e6c4b1b3b0ecc525c0ca32c013b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 3,354$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.97 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,082$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 58c | 2,191$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 1,472$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 59c | 1,134$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.81 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 67c | 948.65$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 839.53$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 725$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 575.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 3c | 423$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 304.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 302$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 250.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 231$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 177.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 59c | 157.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 99.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 35c | 97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 12c | 96.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 34c | 77.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 32c | 77.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 77.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked No | 67c | 74.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 58.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 42.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Yes | 35c | 40.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 36.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 40c | 32.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 62c | 29.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Yes | 38c | 29.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 62c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 59c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 62c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 65c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will UMF Stjarnan vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?No won
- Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.