Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f9c7e7a1cdd19dd7dec8ce2e37c00789254998ee3311e0a6fe48cc77baabe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxim Mrvaof Petr Nesterov, Maxim Mrva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Petr Nesterov | 15c | 1,028$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva | 77c | 814.92$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 595$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Petr Nesterov | 31c | 574.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 538.12$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Petr Nesterov | 4c | 534.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 529.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maxim Mrva | 66c | 518.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 504.06$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Petr Nesterov | 30c | 501.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maxim Mrva | 70c | 443.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva | 75c | 422.22$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Maxim Mrva | 79c | 369.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Petr Nesterov | 30c | 353.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Maxim Mrva | 58c | 272.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Petr Nesterov | 11c | 266.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Petr Nesterov | 43c | 263.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Petr Nesterov | 16c | 253.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Nesterov | 21c | 241.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Maxim Mrva | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Petr Nesterov | 27c | 238.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maxim Mrva | 67c | 233.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 230.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Petr Nesterov | 25c | 228.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Maxim Mrva | 78c | 220.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Petr Nesterov | 45c | 210.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Maxim Mrva | 77c | 207.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Petr Nesterov | 24c | 162.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Petr Nesterov | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Maxim Mrva | 58c | 147$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Maxim Mrva | 72c | 139.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Petr Nesterov | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Petr Nesterov | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maxim Mrva | 57c | 126.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Petr Nesterov | 20c | 126.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 101.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Petr Nesterov | 43c | 91.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 86.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Petr Nesterov | 19c | 77.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Maxim Mrva | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Petr Nesterov | 36c | 63.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Petr Nesterov | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 57.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Petr Nesterov | 26c | 52.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Maxim Mrva | 77c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Petr Nesterov | 25c | 49.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Petr Nesterov | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maxim Mrva | 75c | 44.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Petr Nesterov | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maxim Mrva | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Maxim Mrva | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Petr Nesterov | 41c | 31.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Petr Nesterov | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Petr Nesterov | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Maxim Mrva | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Maxim Mrva | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.