Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. Ultra Prime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa80528d80febbbc37c284adeb052fcf2543332ddc6b9d1fb495c7813ce46ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ultra Prime | 0c | 13,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ultra Prime | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…8915backed Ultra Prime | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 8,409$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.35 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 3,601$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.94 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ultra Prime | 32c | 3,485$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.73 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 2,213$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.55 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +115%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,866$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.1 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,808$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.62 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Ultra Prime | 25c | 1,718$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.45 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,584$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,296$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.37 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ultra Prime | 31c | 1,279$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.34 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Ultra Prime | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 890$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Ultra Prime | 60c | 820$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.2 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Ultra Prime | 39c | 813$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Ultra Prime | 28c | 809.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Ultra Prime | 38c | 800$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 760$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Ultra Prime | 40c | 740.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 699.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 651.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Ultra Prime | 29c | 606$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 575.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Ultra Prime | 15c | 549.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 524.83$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 515.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Ultra Prime | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 512.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Ultra Prime | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Ultra Prime | 31c | 390.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 290$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 259.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 250$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 250$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 243.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ultra Prime | 14c | 229.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Ultra Prime | 60c | 227.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Ultra Prime | 39c | 225.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 222.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…29aebacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 208.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Ultra Prime | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 189.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ultra Prime | 40c | 171.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 152.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Ultra Prime | 37c | 137.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 136.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 127.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Ultra Prime | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Ultra Prime | 35c | 57.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Ultra Prime | 39c | 45.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Ultra Prime | 30c | 44.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8128backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 43.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Ultra Prime | 44c | 42.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Ultra Prime | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…253bbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.