TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Astralis, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis44c11,801$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,142.2421645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy71c7,866$5,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.0183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Legacy56c7,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Astralis41c5,274$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.727345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Astralis19c5,024$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.7432425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Legacy55c5,004$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.6535940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy59c3,523$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.991,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Astralis29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Legacy55c2,310$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4557…4212backed Astralis30c1,648$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…af1abacked Astralis22c1,556$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Astralis45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67513954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Astralis28c1,500$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42727950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Astralis45c1,438$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1515452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Astralis41c1,346$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.495048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis28c1,262$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.75,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35060953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Astralis46c1,152$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Legacy54c1,141$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8421639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a2…abd7backed Legacy50c1,060$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6408…d2aebacked Astralis47c1,059$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Astralis47c1,055$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Legacy50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Legacy55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Astralis44c599.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.994850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Legacy60c592.88$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3228344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Astralis38c560$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.411440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy59c539.37$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7547055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Astralis42c525.48$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Legacy58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5c08…eba9backed Astralis45c517$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.652937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy65c513.87$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7726351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06f…8752backed Astralis18c505.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Astralis45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203f…382abacked Astralis48c476.95$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy57c448.95$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.281,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Legacy54c437.79$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.118450%42 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…dc27backed Legacy60c416.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.021464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Astralis47c413.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5837448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Legacy56c379.34$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9126344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Legacy54c376.82$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.341675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+71.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Astralis40c347.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astralis29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8525941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Astralis45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8513740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Legacy64c319.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.081,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked Astralis37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy55c235.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1929855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Astralis43c232$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Astralis26c225$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8213235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Astralis9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy56c205.19$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.614,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Astralis44c193.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0420855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy56c191.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0722560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5a…7f2dbacked Legacy56c178.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Legacy56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…59a5backed Legacy56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Legacy58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis28c170$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Legacy55c161.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.886643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b6a…56d6backed Astralis50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis19c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Astralis49c136.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Legacy54c120.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.69861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed Astralis46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Astralis61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9542057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e98…3e80backed Legacy66c94.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.445054%27 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Legacy57c70.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.324155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Astralis29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.342149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Astralis15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis61c69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e6…53b2backed Astralis44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306050%30 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…1f57backed Legacy56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.579455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Astralis29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Legacy55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0657…14efbacked Legacy60c49.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.788353%44 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Astralis44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis39c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Astralis45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Astralis45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Legacy55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.224554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde01…b276backed Astralis50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Legacy54c39.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Legacy64c34.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d7…dcb3backed Astralis45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8570%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0cb2…67c8backed Astralis38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Legacy65c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6914952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…04ddbacked Astralis46c24.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Astralis51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.