CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x773fe2a023cbb1a6b98211c5bf9c556b97fcfc78162682b64e757e25ee44769a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof B8, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed B8 | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed B8 | 43c | 8,000$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.44 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,200$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 3,510$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.1 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,513$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.37 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,410$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.85 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,095$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked B8 | 29c | 1,313$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.67 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,234$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed B8 | 40c | 1,108$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed B8 | 28c | 1,088$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed B8 | 37c | 1,072$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.42 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 2c | 1,013$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed B8 | 37c | 910$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.03 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 840.52$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.59 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 813.81$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 669$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 653.81$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.06 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed B8 | 42c | 644.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 620.67$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked B8 | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed B8 | 41c | 490.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked B8 | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 474.45$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 33c | 473.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed B8 | 24c | 437.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 414.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 388$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 351.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 323.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed B8 | 41c | 314$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked B8 | 46c | 306.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 294$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 286.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked B8 | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…058ebacked B8 | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 226.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked B8 | 35c | 215.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed B8 | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked B8 | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 183.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 178.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 162.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked B8 | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked B8 | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed B8 | 26c | 74.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked B8 | 46c | 61.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed B8 | 37c | 54.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked B8 | 43c | 25.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…6ccebacked B8 | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.