MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed257c831a2057620f647009164c99590d30e092ab1da7ee9b5e4e53d05b685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Royals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 50c | 29,799$14,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,887.59 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Royals | 50c | 20,617$10,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.16 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Guardians | 51c | 15,550$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,566.5 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 48c | 14,052$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Royals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 68c | 7,729$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.46 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 49c | 6,466$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.87 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 46c | 5,543$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.59 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 27c | 5,198$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 52c | 4,516$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.76 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 72c | 4,197$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.45 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Guardians | 52c | 3,827$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 51c | 3,800$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 12c | 3,384$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 77c | 3,212$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 53c | 3,117$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Royals | 31c | 2,787$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians | 50c | 2,500$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Royals | 50c | 2,409$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 78c | 1,615$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,275$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.24 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Royals | 47c | 1,130$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…6b4dbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,115$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…f5f2backed Guardians | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Royals | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Royals | 16c | 1,030$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Royals | 47c | 1,004$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.11 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Royals | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Royals | 50c | 975$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 18c | 897.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 53c | 744$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 37c | 743.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 53c | 731$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 48c | 721.01$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 48c | 654.81$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Guardians | 54c | 634.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.38 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 76c | 616.17$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Royals | 12c | 579.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 51c | 566$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Guardians | 54c | 556.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 53c | 522.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.78 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Guardians | 53c | 516.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.11 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Royals | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Guardians | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 64c | 423.65$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians | 51c | 417.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…be51backed Guardians | 52c | 412$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Royals | 49c | 411.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Guardians | 52c | 394.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Royals | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 47c | 385.42$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Guardians | 54c | 375$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Guardians | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Guardians | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Royals | 18c | 284.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Guardians | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Guardians | 54c | 222.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Guardians | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…ad77backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…4a5ebacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Guardiansthis page
- NRFI: Royals vs. GuardiansNo won
- Royals vs. Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.