Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc376b96f4a6ec039b0c8756d37e441b9d7d75df3fd7acb2148a155d36e22bbfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Albany Great Danes, Yale Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Albany Great Danes | 16c | 20,501$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.18 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Albany Great Danes | 12c | 3,667$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Albany Great Danes | 3c | 2,884$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Albany Great Danes | 12c | 1,536$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Albany Great Danes | 14c | 1,331$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Albany Great Danes | 11c | 1,102$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Albany Great Danes | 17c | 741.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…324dbacked Albany Great Danes | 8c | 704.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Albany Great Danes | 8c | 519.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Albany Great Danes | 8c | 477.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Albany Great Danes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Albany Great Danes | 7c | 285.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Albany Great Danes | 12c | 253.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Albany Great Danes | 4c | 251.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Albany Great Danes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…94cabacked Albany Great Danes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Albany Great Danes | 8c | 248.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Albany Great Danes | 6c | 239.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Albany Great Danes | 15c | 217$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Albany Great Danes | 10c | 206.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…06dcbacked Albany Great Danes | 10c | 202.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Albany Great Danes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Albany Great Danes | 13c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Albany Great Danes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Albany Great Danes | 12c | 121.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked Albany Great Danes | 17c | 103.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…a389backed Albany Great Danes | 16c | 94.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogsthis page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 148.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-17.5)Albany Great Danes won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-18.5)Albany Great Danes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.