Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8adc6828645c99362ba9f69be00026cac570674d0a275bf9686ae5a02d4793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albany Great Danesof Yale Bulldogs, Albany Great Danes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 12,531$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140.3 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 4,291$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 3,617$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.16 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 2,223$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.27 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 1,113$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 195$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Albany Great Danes | 47c | 116$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 116$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Albany Great Danes | 46c | 93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 74.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Albany Great Danes | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Albany Great Danes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Albany Great Danes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…27efbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 21.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-17.5)this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 148.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-18.5)Albany Great Danes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.