Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3ab08aa298ad6ec00429d6bc10e409f0fccb3dce51c6683674d03ead6f4cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albany Great Danesof Yale Bulldogs, Albany Great Danes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Albany Great Danes | 53c | 5,122$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 3,312$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.64 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 1,425$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 366.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Albany Great Danes | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Albany Great Danes | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Albany Great Danes | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Albany Great Danes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Albany Great Danes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Albany Great Danes | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Albany Great Danes | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-18.5)this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale BulldogsYale Bulldogs won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 148.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-17.5)Albany Great Danes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.