NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884bff7c5d6501c00b5172fbd314f404f6016033005a9a5f14daa57731e37022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Dolphins | 1c | 40,294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Dolphins | 34c | 7,854$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.39 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Seahawks | 70c | 6,010$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.08 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Dolphins | 33c | 6,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks | 66c | 5,711$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.61 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Dolphins | 32c | 5,298$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Seahawks | 65c | 5,037$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.09 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Seahawks | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Dolphins | 33c | 3,093$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.31 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Seahawks | 67c | 3,030$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Seahawks | 66c | 2,359$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.16 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Dolphins | 8c | 2,239$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins | 6c | 1,787$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Seahawks | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Dolphins | 7c | 1,050$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Dolphins | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Seahawks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Seahawks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dolphins | 34c | 801.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Seahawks | 18c | 710.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Seahawks | 78c | 624.91$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Dolphins | 8c | 606.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dolphins | 8c | 595.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Dolphins | 32c | 514.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1d55backed Seahawks | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Seahawks | 66c | 444$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Seahawks | 70c | 411.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Dolphins | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Dolphins | 29c | 352.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Dolphins | 14c | 338.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Dolphins | 7c | 301.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Seahawks | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed Dolphins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…faf5backed Dolphins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Seahawks | 72c | 290$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Dolphins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc61…0a44backed Seahawks | 67c | 283.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Seahawks | 66c | 278.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Dolphins | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Seahawks | 66c | 227.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Seahawks | 66c | 210$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Dolphins | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dolphins | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Seahawks | 67c | 161.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Seahawks | 67c | 150.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Seahawks | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Seahawks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Dolphins | 20c | 148.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Seahawks | 74c | 145.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Seahawks | 65c | 145.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…a61fbacked Dolphins | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Dolphins | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Dolphins | 10c | 106.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Seahawks | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Seahawks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Dolphins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Seahawks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Seahawks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Dolphins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Seahawks | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Seahawks | 66c | 88.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Seahawks | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Dolphins | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Seahawks | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Seahawks | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Dolphins | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Dolphins | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Dolphins | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Seahawks | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Seahawks | 66c | 56.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Seahawks | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…6565backed Dolphins | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…df58backed Dolphins | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Seahawks | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Seahawks | 66c | 37.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Seahawks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…202ebacked Seahawks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…3c0fbacked Seahawks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Seahawks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…c6a4backed Seahawks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Seahawks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…9d36backed Seahawks | 67c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…129dbacked Seahawks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Seahawks | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…8627backed Seahawks | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Seahawks | 67c | 15.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…f840backed Seahawks | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.