NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c0226137dd64d6bfc583aebd16950e4d16ddc6a6da785dcd5c3805dff2d0e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Bears | 35c | 61,690$21,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,470.49 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Texans | 72c | 25,007$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.85 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Texans | 61c | 21,153$12,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.75 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bears | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bears | 9c | 16,831$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.75 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Texans | 68c | 13,508$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.72 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bears | 11c | 13,112$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.96 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Texans | 73c | 12,898$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bears | 28c | 11,393$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.02 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bears | 22c | 10,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 28c | 9,500$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.58 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bears | 20c | 9,095$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.29 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Texans | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 27c | 8,636$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.99 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Texans | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Texans | 71c | 6,772$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.08 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Texans | 71c | 6,760$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.31 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bears | 9c | 6,723$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Bears | 9c | 5,244$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texans | 72c | 5,032$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.81 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Texans | 71c | 4,705$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Texans | 68c | 4,627$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Bears | 27c | 3,778$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Bears | 13c | 3,576$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.6 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Bears | 28c | 3,500$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.99 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Texans | 79c | 2,829$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.16 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bears | 9c | 2,359$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bears | 8c | 2,299$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Texans | 61c | 2,255$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Texans | 73c | 2,008$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bears | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bears | 29c | 1,769$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.53 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Texans | 76c | 1,654$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Bears | 22c | 1,620$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Bears | 33c | 1,526$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…7045backed Bears | 29c | 1,468$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Bears | 22c | 1,365$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bears | 28c | 1,303$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…2d01backed Bears | 6c | 1,201$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Bears | 18c | 1,200$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Texans | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bears | 29c | 1,194$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Bears | 28c | 1,161$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Texans | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bears | 24c | 1,048$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bears | 20c | 1,023$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bears | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Texans | 33c | 965$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Bears | 68c | 953.13$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.13 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Texans | 72c | 943$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Bears | 29c | 938.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Bears | 31c | 822.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.87 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Texans | 64c | 782.38$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Bears | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bears | 29c | 745.07$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Texans | 78c | 724.58$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Bears | 29c | 690.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Texans | 70c | 674.06$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1d55backed Texans | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Texans | 71c | 555$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Bears | 13c | 533.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…3687backed Texans | 79c | 528.43$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Texans | 72c | 501.61$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Bears | 24c | 500.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Texans | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…36b0backed Texans | 72c | 464.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Texans | 80c | 460.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 73c | 450$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bears | 29c | 444$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 77c | 413.31$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Bears | 30c | 410.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bears | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Texans | 73c | 376.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Texans | 79c | 375.04$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…5acebacked Bears | 20c | 356.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Bears | 21c | 350.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…f304backed Texans | 72c | 326.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…e94dbacked Bears | 24c | 326$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Bears | 13c | 305.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Bears | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Texans | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Texans | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Bears | 31c | 291.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…b10abacked Bears | 33c | 275$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Texans | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Bears | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Bears | 16c | 243.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…3f09backed Bears | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Texans | 76c | 222$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 74c | 219.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…c5cfbacked Bears | 28c | 211.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Texans | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Bears | 16c | 207.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Bears | 13c | 206.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7d75backed Texans | 72c | 203.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texans | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…00c6backed Texans | 78c | 199.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Texans | 64c | 194.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.