College Football · resolved market
Will Washington beat Washington State?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1771b1af95307271b478f6b68eb1ff8f18c3ab6e7e2476cd2fba38fdceced42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WSUof Washington, WSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Washington | 40c | 5,440$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed WSU | 53c | 4,876$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.4 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed WSU | 41c | 2,330$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +284.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked WSU | 66c | 2,306$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Washington | 51c | 1,397$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.83 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Washington | 39c | 1,082$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Washington | 50c | 820$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Washington | 3c | 733$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Washington | 55c | 721.43$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked WSU | 37c | 677.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Washington | 61c | 655.22$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Washington | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed WSU | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed WSU | 76c | 315.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Washington | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed WSU | 66c | 295.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Washington | 40c | 212.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed WSU | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Washington | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Washington | 12c | 149.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed WSU | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Washington | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Washington | 66c | 85.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Washington | 59c | 77.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…3aecbacked WSU | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…5b3fbacked Washington | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed WSU | 29c | 54.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed WSU | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Washington | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Washington | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed WSU | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked Washington | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed WSU | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed WSU | 77c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Washington beat Washington State?this page
- Will Washington beat Washington State by 6 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.