TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rangers, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf980…6528backed Rangers44c79,898$35,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,517.9811746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rays55c41,626$22,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,638.1835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rays73c14,047$10,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,785.7786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rangers46c13,316$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,125.5212650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays56c11,530$6,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.981,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Rays54c9,222$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.92951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays58c5,917$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.161,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7e…e764backed Rangers46c5,691$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rays54c5,541$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.7825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers8c5,334$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays56c5,221$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.712,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf85…5d36backed Rays54c4,916$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+114.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdb…e57fbacked Rays54c4,848$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d41…eba3backed Rangers46c4,073$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rays55c3,445$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5239041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays56c3,438$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.51,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays57c2,820$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.721,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays56c2,794$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.9197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rays56c2,612$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rays56c2,427$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.8876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rangers34c2,000$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.3669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rays54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.091,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers44c1,610$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.2214747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rays55c1,527$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.361,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers17c1,318$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Rangers42c1,299$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.564438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Rangers6c1,263$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7812314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers1c1,145$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.915053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rays53c1,125$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays57c1,050$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays55c911.78$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.525,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Rangers10c750$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.49920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rangers13c750$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers5c743.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.444754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Rays54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.748457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rays57c456.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers10c437$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.582488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays54c425$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Rangers8c411.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8812335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Rangers21c400$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.674250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Rays54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rays58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8338455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Rays55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Rangers47c271$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.377554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Rays55c234.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5416347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rangers10c231.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rays58c231.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0331145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Rays55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9019849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5f…aab9backed Rays54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Rays54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.117348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Rangers17c177.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Rays58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Rays56c168$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.925653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rays53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rays56c159$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9640352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rays56c143.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2339…e984backed Rays55c138.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked Rangers47c133$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.511963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rangers15c131.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Rays57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Rays58c129.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3843250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rays55c125.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5538245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers46c125.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.181,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers45c123.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Rangers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d91…ebcebacked Rays55c115.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.772934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rays55c106.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8934264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…8267backed Rangers19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb540…1319backed Rangers47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.963339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rays53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4720448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…0af8backed Rangers11c98.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c5…5554backed Rangers46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eff…0211backed Rays54c95.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rays54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5978454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Rays55c90.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.532751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers45c84.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Rays55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8247850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344c…0c31backed Rangers46c77.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…6550backed Rays58c69.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673b…37ffbacked Rays56c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…25bcbacked Rangers44c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…7a72backed Rays58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked Rangers43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Rays54c59.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.553060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays58c59.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.022,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Rays56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.642128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b40…80a4backed Rangers46c55.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.682944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Rays54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.