College Football · resolved market
Will LSU beat South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a768f89259fcb35258914bcc6f245fc350c2f45380fb9f4dc5973557a22877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSUof LSU, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed LSU | 59c | 3,571$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked LSU | 48c | 3,286$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.31 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed LSU | 51c | 2,781$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed South Carolina | 48c | 2,163$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed South Carolina | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.11 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed LSU | 79c | 1,617$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked LSU | 72c | 1,399$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked South Carolina | 31c | 1,381$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.42 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed South Carolina | 47c | 1,246$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked LSU | 46c | 1,078$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.68 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked LSU | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed LSU | 56c | 800$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed LSU | 51c | 665.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked South Carolina | 7c | 628$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed South Carolina | 7c | 628$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked LSU | 66c | 570$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed LSU | 63c | 514.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed LSU | 34c | 481.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed LSU | 23c | 430.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked LSU | 56c | 411.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked LSU | 51c | 392.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed LSU | 69c | 365.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked South Carolina | 36c | 355.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed South Carolina | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked South Carolina | 59c | 339.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed South Carolina | 50c | 311.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed South Carolina | 29c | 242.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed LSU | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed South Carolina | 57c | 215.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed LSU | 44c | 209.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed South Carolina | 33c | 193.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed South Carolina | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed South Carolina | 58c | 185.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed LSU | 68c | 180.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed South Carolina | 29c | 164.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked South Carolina | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked South Carolina | 54c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked LSU | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed South Carolina | 48c | 111.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed LSU | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed LSU | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked LSU | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…c328backed South Carolina | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked South Carolina | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed South Carolina | 56c | 89.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed LSU | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…6aacbacked South Carolina | 29c | 84.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…229cbacked South Carolina | 36c | 83.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed LSU | 36c | 82.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed South Carolina | 53c | 81.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed South Carolina | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked LSU | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…5924backed South Carolina | 31c | 50.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed South Carolina | 73c | 36.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked LSU | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked LSU | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed LSU | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…5e9fbacked LSU | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked South Carolina | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed LSU | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed South Carolina | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LSU beat South Carolina?this page
- Will LSU beat South Carolina by 8 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.