MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa963d4f491e901b31728d5ab11b5191a0a9a68ae219ec15ea1f71eb822e11621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Cubs, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 51c | 119,636$61,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,221.24 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Cubs | 42c | 58,517$24,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,813.15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cubs | 22c | 17,455$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.09 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 53c | 15,770$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 71c | 14,701$10,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Cubs | 51c | 9,963$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 47c | 6,410$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 30c | 6,047$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Nationals | 72c | 4,987$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.47 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 56c | 4,350$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.98 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 55c | 3,992$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.3 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Nationals | 77c | 3,528$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Nationals | 45c | 3,205$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.9 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 55c | 2,989$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 46c | 2,448$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.99 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,283$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.17 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Cubs | 56c | 2,070$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.19 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 53c | 2,050$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.94 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Cubs | 56c | 2,007$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 54c | 1,918$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.69 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…a8cbbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,837$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cubs | 53c | 1,788$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.9 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 36c | 1,615$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.09 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 59c | 1,600$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.94 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 29c | 1,245$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.63 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Nationals | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,114$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 54c | 1,092$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 56c | 1,069$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,051$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Nationals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Cubs | 57c | 996.02$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 45c | 944.83$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…bc5dbacked Cubs | 57c | 942$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 55c | 934.97$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cubs | 57c | 906.16$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.51 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…9378backed Cubs | 57c | 895$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 33c | 782.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.32 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 57c | 763.81$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.37 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 54c | 738.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 54c | 668.21$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 17c | 605.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Nationals | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Cubs | 61c | 584.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Nationals | 71c | 559.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Nationals | 70c | 540.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Cubs | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Cubs | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 5c | 439.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Nationals | 45c | 378.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cubs | 18c | 370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nationals | 47c | 366.3$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Nationals | 77c | 334.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Nationals | 43c | 332.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Cubs | 65c | 330.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 15c | 249.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nationals | 45c | 217.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 55c | 200.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Cubs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 44c | 194.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Nationals | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cubs | 33c | 177.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Cubs | 56c | 150.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Nationals | 45c | 148.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0b69backed Nationals | 45c | 131.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Nationals | 43c | 130.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Nationals | 46c | 130.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 52c | 121.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Nationals | 41c | 121.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Nationals | 46c | 120.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…05c0backed Cubs | 57c | 117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…d241backed Nationals | 43c | 116.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Cubs | 57c | 114.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…2a5fbacked Nationals | 46c | 110.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…293fbacked Cubs | 56c | 109.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…93e9backed Cubs | 56c | 108.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Cubs | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Cubs | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.