NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in Week 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbf59bd327f9daffc67cd9e6dcfd1106788d967f056875f680acaa803a7cd73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb618…14babacked Yes | 32c | 21,378$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 70c | 11,840$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 76c | 7,694$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.15 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 80c | 6,899$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.39 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked No | 68c | 5,083$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…05fbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,944$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 70c | 2,222$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.69 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 69c | 2,213$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,916$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 7c | 1,374$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 19c | 1,330$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 68c | 1,200$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 79c | 1,100$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed No | 71c | 951.57$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 67c | 733.9$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed No | 70c | 714.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…0e21backed Yes | 22c | 536.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 70c | 443.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 77c | 441$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 67c | 386.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 69c | 333$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 69c | 333$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 31c | 330$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 22c | 330$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 33c | 328.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Yes | 32c | 310.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 308$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 78c | 304$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…7e9ebacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 242.72$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 68c | 215.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 66c | 211$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked No | 69c | 185.34$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed No | 68c | 181.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…1e8abacked No | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Yes | 31c | 161.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…4cf3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…4407backed No | 70c | 90.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 21c | 71.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…c968backed No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 33c | 60.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked No | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20b6…98eebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.