Tennis · resolved market
Ilinca Amariei vs. Elsa Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed289d35d3bc73721873ba2ffe8c0a329eefca79b156c4f38ddda360c902892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Over 2.5 | 1c | 6,608$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Over 2.5 | 4c | 3,267$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Over 2.5 | 1c | 3,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over 2.5 | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Over 2.5 | 1c | 1,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Over 2.5 | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Over 2.5 | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over 2.5 | 65c | 174.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under 2.5 | 35c | 174.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under 2.5 | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 114.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.5 | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 48c | 84.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over 2.5 | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under 2.5 | 72c | 38.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over 2.5 | 28c | 38.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ilinca Amariei vs. Elsa Jacquemot: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Amariei vs. Jacquemot: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Iasi Open: Completed Match: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa JacquemotYes won
- Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa JacquemotElsa Jacquemot won
- Set 1 Winner: Amariei vs JacquemotJacquemot won
- Set 2 Winner: Amariei vs JacquemotJacquemot won
- Set Handicap: Amariei (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)Jacquemot won
- Set Handicap: Jacquemot (-1.5) vs Amariei (+1.5)Jacquemot won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.