Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Grizzly Gang vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf643acc7dd7a6a19e26aaf5cc2595d7f3a8525eab32fcce7d001b2334e3be15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Grizzly Gang, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed LYON | 77c | 4,900$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.73 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Grizzly Gang | 25c | 1,410$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.78 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed LYON | 79c | 999.99$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 854.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Grizzly Gang | 21c | 833.39$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Grizzly Gang | 24c | 780.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LYON | 71c | 658.35$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LYON | 79c | 599.62$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked Grizzly Gang | 36c | 503.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 450$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LYON | 78c | 389.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Grizzly Gang | 28c | 352.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed LYON | 64c | 295.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grizzly Gang | 23c | 281.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…ff78backed Grizzly Gang | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Grizzly Gang | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Grizzly Gang | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Grizzly Gang | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Grizzly Gang | 23c | 180.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Grizzly Gang | 17c | 169$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 165.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Grizzly Gang | 26c | 160.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked Grizzly Gang | 20c | 156.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Grizzly Gang | 23c | 144.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Grizzly Gang | 18c | 124.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LYON | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Grizzly Gang | 26c | 104.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Grizzly Gang | 24c | 102.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Grizzly Gang | 24c | 102.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Grizzly Gang | 25c | 102.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Grizzly Gang | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Grizzly Gang | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked LYON | 68c | 91.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Grizzly Gang | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…b0a3backed LYON | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Grizzly Gang | 23c | 51.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Grizzly Gang | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Grizzly Gang | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzly Gang | 27c | 37.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked LYON | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed LYON | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed LYON | 79c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Grizzly Gang vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Grizzly Gang vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Grizzly Gang vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.