Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35523bb6049a791df57ab35415b9296e5537089943e4d96d357ea7e4c82cf074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e42…19f0backed Yes | 0c | 18,002$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…8bf9backed Yes | 0c | 13,499$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 3c | 5,740$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 44c | 971.37$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…98c8backed Yes | 2c | 921$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 50c | 740.71$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.44 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 49c | 518.53$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 482.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…0ab4backed Yes | 66c | 473.95$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 40c | 470.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 44c | 431.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 395.1$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 373.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 29c | 341.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 41c | 300.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 32c | 289.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 71c | 281.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 37c | 269.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 45c | 239.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 231.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 48c | 224.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 48c | 221.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 74c | 217.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked Yes | 26c | 212.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 28c | 211.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 43c | 198.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 193.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 35c | 181.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…f2d4backed Yes | 36c | 170.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 39c | 167.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 53c | 164.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 35c | 161.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Yes | 37c | 158.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 32c | 158.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 36c | 152.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 38c | 149.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 61c | 149$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 50c | 140.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…566ebacked Yes | 28c | 139.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 135.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 132.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 23c | 132.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 67c | 130.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…3363backed No | 75c | 130.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 54c | 128.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 69c | 127.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 28c | 123.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 29c | 122.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…7bc7backed No | 71c | 119.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 42c | 113.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…3fe4backed Yes | 33c | 110.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 109.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 31c | 104.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 34c | 98.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 63c | 98.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 47c | 97.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 97.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 60c | 97.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 52c | 92.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 33c | 92.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 47c | 91.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 40c | 91.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 21c | 89.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 89.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 32c | 88.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked No | 65c | 88.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 63c | 87.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 51c | 86.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 21c | 86.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 85.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 59c | 84.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 41c | 81.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed No | 65c | 79.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…add7backed No | 63c | 79.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 34c | 79.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 71c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 46c | 77.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 76.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked Yes | 39c | 75.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 36c | 75.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 71.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 63c | 70.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 72c | 68.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 73c | 68.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 36c | 64.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 65c | 64.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 38c | 63.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 26c | 62.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…742ebacked Yes | 31c | 62.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 211 | 31.8%67 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.