Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8acee44243147d8ef2a3d587a767bb6fb2873e704130cab552e1caf62a8a362e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,065$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.65 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 74c | 650.79$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 533.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 26c | 505.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 447.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 36c | 381.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 352.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 59c | 338.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 50c | 337.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 45c | 322.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 15c | 310.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 40c | 302.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 66c | 293.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 55c | 280.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 55c | 268.46$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 47c | 257.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 43c | 235.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 235.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 13c | 234.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed No | 63c | 234.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 68c | 229.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 46c | 223.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Yes | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 56c | 197.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 50c | 191.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…bcdcbacked Yes | 50c | 189.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 50c | 184.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 41c | 171.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 53c | 167.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…4e2fbacked Yes | 28c | 167.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 52c | 165.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 162.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…2667backed Yes | 54c | 160.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 65c | 156.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 55c | 156.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 154.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 51c | 150.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 41c | 149.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…566ebacked Yes | 35c | 149.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 145.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 53c | 141.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…4bcdbacked Yes | 38c | 135.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 45c | 132.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 36c | 130.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed Yes | 41c | 128.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 48c | 128.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 19c | 125.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 122.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 79c | 121.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…f97abacked Yes | 42c | 121.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 56c | 120.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…83d0backed Yes | 41c | 120.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 56c | 118.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 54c | 115.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 58c | 115.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 43c | 112.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 104.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 76c | 104.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…64a0backed Yes | 60c | 103.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 46c | 101.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 38c | 99.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 50c | 98.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 40c | 93.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 41c | 93.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 93.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 43c | 93.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 17c | 90.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…9074backed Yes | 42c | 89.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 62c | 87.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 33c | 86.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 86.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 49c | 84.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 46c | 78.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…371abacked Yes | 36c | 77.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 42c | 74.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 43c | 73.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked Yes | 40c | 73.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 68c | 72.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 56c | 72.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 52c | 72.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 54c | 72.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 50c | 68.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 63.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 40c | 62.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…c430backed Yes | 57c | 60.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…f2d4backed No | 64c | 60.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 60.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 31c | 59.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 59.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 40c | 58.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…8b00backed Yes | 32c | 58.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed No | 68c | 58.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 33c | 53.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.