TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Over42c14,918$6,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,265.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,238$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under58c1,750$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,478$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c666.29$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.762,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Over50c639.79$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c608.39$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.123,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.965525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c456.77$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.951,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18924956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over43c324.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.723627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c291.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8283642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under58c264.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c228.45$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.761,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over42c199.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9821837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0613247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under49c187.94$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6315560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54658.7%27 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under57c149.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under64c149.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c110.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.423,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.322532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over45c107.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3512645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4218959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c88.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.311,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over43c85.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.793941%16 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c66.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Under59c59.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.234045%18 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Under57c58.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.094348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over41c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1635958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a2…316dbacked Over44c54.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over40c54.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under58c53.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5217143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Over44c52.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over48c51.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.959248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Under57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Over43c49.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.258133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under48c46.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.216756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under57c42.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.444065%26 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over43c42.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.173154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf92e…d539backed Under67c41.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick71cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over43c39.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1114352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c34.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.012,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1219761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under58c33.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9224253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under66c33.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over43c31.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.528528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b3b…0353backed Over41c28.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under54c27.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under58c27.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.436061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over43c24.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.438047.5%38 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under57c23.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0270055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over46c21.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1131827%86 W · 232 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under70c19.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over58c18.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.024153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.