South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd231482e022c8298f33099e6f1d0edf498584b36b52c56a8bd0918bea60d7b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,611$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 1,587$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.18 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 1,241$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 52c | 932.1$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 629.12$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 514.62$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 429.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 51c | 380.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 45c | 352.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed No | 49c | 296.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…7231backed Yes | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 51c | 154.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 51c | 129.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 50c | 57.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…b27bbacked No | 46c | 43.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 40.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Yes | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…17eabacked Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 57c | 27.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…883bbacked Yes | 56c | 18.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.